Countries under the pressure of the Third World War
At a time of heightened tensions in many regions around the world, the possibility of a world war escalating into a third world war has increased because of regional and international developments in several international conflicts.
In this regard, the National Interest magazine reported that the year 2017 passed without a catastrophic conflict, especially with the calm that began to prevail in the civil war in Syria, but there are still conflicts that have difficulty finding a peaceful exit for them, so that "five areas Around the world "to form the nucleus to trigger the spark of World War III.
The report, published on Saturday, said diplomatic confusion in the administration of US President Donald Trump created uncertainty around the world regarding US intentions and capabilities, predicting that misjudgment in international crises would lead to a global conflict in which the interests of all Western powers would run counter.
North Korea
North Korea is the most serious foreign policy crisis facing the world today after the success of its missile and ballistic missile programs, as well as the lack of sufficient diplomatic expertise in curbing Pyongyang's nuclear capabilities, which has created a delicate situation.
According to the report, the evidence does not indicate the response of Korean leader Kim Yong-un to US pressure, after his country conducted missile and nuclear tests repeatedly over the past decade.
In contrast, there was a split within the US administration, where the differences of views between the decision-making circles America to deal with the crisis on the Korean Peninsula.
Given the complexity of the case, North Korea and the United States have strong motives for initiating the war; therefore, the United States should anticipate the destruction of the communications centers and missile platforms, according to the American magazine, and it is not unlikely that Japan or China will easily drift into the battle.
Pyongyang has launched a number of ballistic missiles over the past months, conducting nuclear tests that have worried Washington and its allies in Asia and have received widespread international condemnation.
Taiwan
The US-led crisis suggests that the crisis between Taiwan and China could lead to a long-term war. Recent aggressive statements by Chinese military and diplomatic leaders indicate that the Chinese leadership now believes that the military balance has shifted in their favor.
Last Thursday, China announced its protest after President Donald Trump signed a defense budget that paves the way for US warships to visit Taiwan, which is self-governing.
Chinese media reported last week that a diplomat from the Chinese embassy in the United States warned that Beijing would forcibly return Taiwan on the day a US warship entered the main Taiwan port.
Taiwan has been separated from China in 1949, but has only self-government, and has not declared independence until now, despite China's comments that Taiwan is part of Chinese territory.
According to the National Interest, despite the US condemnation of Chinese moves and the announcement of the sale of a large range of weapons to Taiwan, Trump's efforts to communicate with the Chinese authorities on tightening sanctions against North Korea have created diplomatic channels between Beijing and Washington recently, but remains There is skepticism about the intentions of both sides which could lead to a devastating conflict.
Ukraine
The conflict in Ukraine remains a sensitive focus of the possibility of escalating tension between the West and the Russian Federation on the other hand under the fragile ceasefire agreement due to violence between the local militias supported by Moscow in the face of the central government in Kiev, and therefore sparked protests and demonstrations against the former Georgian president Mikhail Saakashvili questions about the stability of the government, according to the American magazine.
The collapse of the central government in Kiev could bring back many gains to Russia, highlighted by the increasing chances of Moscow taking over the reins of government through its agents, but at the same time the collapse of the Kiev government could lead to the rise of right-wing radicals to power, Ignites a fuse of conflict in the eastern provinces.
Although the Trump administration has backed away from the lukewarm support of former US President Barack Obama to Kiev, Russia's dangerous military incursion into Ukraine could threaten to put Europe and the United States in a violent conflict against Moscow.
It is noteworthy that Ukraine was part of the former Soviet Union until 1991, and then remained under the effective control of Moscow.
Efforts over the past few years to attract Ukraine to the West have led to divisions in the country, accusing Ukraine and most Western countries of being behind it.
The sanctions against Moscow were approved after Russia announced its annexation of the Crimea from Ukraine in 2014.
Turkey
The report also pointed out that the collapse of relations between the United States and Turkey, during the past year, which contributed to the convergence of Ankara and Moscow recently. The report noted that the possession of Turkey, Russian equipment and weapons may indicate a major shift in regional and international balance.
The US magazine said that Turkey, Russia and the United States did not believe that the war would be a reasonable way to resolve the new diplomatic situation, especially as the increasing tension in their relations may lead to escalation in many of the conflicts in the region, such as Syria, Iraq and Iran.
Turkey has been negotiating with Russia to buy an S-400 missile system for more than a year. Washington and some NATO allies are ignoring Turkey, as they can not be integrated into NATO defenses.
The Arabian Gulf
The report states that the conflict in the Arabian Gulf is the confrontation between Saudi Arabia and Iran. Riyadh blames every regional dispute over Iranian ambitions, which makes the Saudi leadership wait for the moment to press the trigger.
The US magazine said: "The administration of US President Donald Trump has largely accepted the victory of the Assad regime in Syria with the support of Russia, but compass its efforts to put an end to Iranian expansion."
Saudi Arabia has shown a strong willingness to build a military alliance against the Shi'ite-led bloc, led by Iran, while the US magazine did not rule out Riyadh accepting Israel as a member of its bloc, which is mostly Sunni.
It is noteworthy that Saudi Arabia supports the opposition in Syria against the regime of President Bashar al-Assad, who belongs to the Alawite and leads at the same time an Arab alliance in the war in Yemen against the group of Houthis attributed to the Shiite sect.
Iran supports Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria, provides military aid to the Houthis in Yemen, supervises Shiite militias in Iraq and supports Hezbollah, which Saudi Arabia considers a terrorist organization. Iran also considers the Wahhabist Wahhabi Wahhabi doctrine in Saudi Arabia to be a taciturn approach and calls it a terrorist.
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